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ARCC Dividend Scorecard

Ares Capital Corporation · BDC · graded on the House framework — is the payout covered, is the yield real or a trap, and does it compound or just pay? Snapshot · Week of October 19, 2026

ARCCAres Capital CorporationBDC
Yield
10.3%
Regular only — $1.92/yr ÷ $18.64 close Oct 23, 2026
Dividend
$0.48/qtr
Regular rate — no supplemental declared
Payout (NII)
~91%
H1 2026: $0.96 vs $1.05 NII per share
Pays
Quarterly
Q3 $0.48 paid Sep 30, 2026
House verdict

Covered — but thin, and NAV is slipping. The $0.48 quarterly regular dividend — no supplemental was declared alongside it — was covered by net investment income in the first half of 2026: $1.05 per share against $0.96 declared. The margin is thin, though: Core EPS was $0.94 for the half, just under the dividend, and NAV fell on unrealized losses while the dividend was paid. The yield is earned on an income basis — it is not compounding at 10.3% while NAV slips.

Key risk: Middle-market borrowers defaulting — loans on non-accrual rose to 2.4% of investments at cost (1.4% at fair value) at June 30, 2026, from 1.8% at cost (1.2% at fair value) at December 31, 2025; a credit downturn that pushes non-accruals higher and marks loans down is what would pressure both NAV and the dividend.

Changes if: Net investment income falls below the $0.48 quarterly rate on a sustained basis, Core EPS stays under the dividend, or NAV keeps falling quarter after quarter. Together those would point to a dividend set above what the portfolio actually earns.

What this grade doesn't say: It screens the dividend only — covered, real, compounding. It says nothing about valuation or price: a well-covered payer can still be overpriced, and its price can still fall.

ARCC in the House

Room: Credit / BDC. Not one of the House's current holdings — in Order a New House it takes a seat in this room and carries the room's 9% target. Target 9% — business-lending income. Higher yield for carrying the credit risk banks used to keep.

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Figures are the snapshot from the week of October 19, 2026, checked against the company's SEC filings (EDGAR) and announcements — not a live feed, and not financial advice. Read the full disclaimers.