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CTO Dividend Scorecard

CTO Realty Growth, Inc. · REIT · graded on the House framework — is the payout covered, is the yield real or a trap, and does it compound or just pay? Snapshot · Week of October 19, 2026

CTOCTO Realty Growth, Inc.REIT
Yield
~7.7%
$1.52 ÷ $19.78 close, Oct 23, 2026
Dividend
$0.38/qtr
Paid Sep 30, 2026
AFFO payout
~69%
Q2 2026: $0.38 ÷ $0.55 AFFO
Debt / EBITDA
5.8×
Net debt, Jun 30, 2026; down from 6.4×
House verdict

Well covered and growing. Open-air shopping centers, necessity-anchored, are doing what the House wants a REIT to do: second-quarter AFFO of $0.55 a share covers the $0.38 quarterly dividend at ~69%, raised 2026 AFFO guidance of $2.21–$2.25 a share covers the $1.52 annual dividend at ~68%, and leverage fell to 5.8× net debt to pro forma adjusted EBITDA from 6.4× a quarter earlier. Same-property shopping-center NOI rose 10.1% year over year and leased occupancy reached 95.4% at June 30, 2026. For a REIT, the House reads AFFO payout — never the EPS payout, which depreciation makes meaningless.

Key risk: Retail concentration — 87% of annualized base rent comes from Georgia, Florida, Texas, and North Carolina shopping centers, so a regional retail downturn hits the whole book at once.

Changes if: AFFO guidance is cut, occupancy slips below the 95.4% June level, or leverage climbs back above ~6.4×. The cushion is the verdict.

What this grade doesn't say: It screens the dividend only — covered, real, compounding. It says nothing about valuation or price: a well-covered payer can still be overpriced, and its price can still fall.

CTO in the House

Room: Rental Income. Not one of the House’s current holdings — in Order a New House it takes a seat in this room and carries the room’s 16% target. Target 16% — REIT rent checks. Quarterly distributions from real estate, the closest thing to a tenant’s check without owning the building.

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Figures are the snapshot from the week of October 19, 2026, checked against the company’s SEC filings (EDGAR) and announcements — not a live feed, and not financial advice. Read the full disclaimers.